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This a regular feature which has predictions for the AL East from three sites with statistical models that are updated on a regular basis, based on what has occurred over the course of the season. The records below show show the predictions from each of the individual sites, as well as a three site average.*

This week the three sites, on average, are predicting a 81-81 record for the Jays, unchanged from the average projections last week. If all of these projections hold true this would put the Jays 10 games out of first behind the Red Sox at the end of the year.

The average projection of 91 wins for the Yankees represents an improvement compared to last week, when they were projected to win 89 games. The Red Sox are on average projected to finish 2 games behind the Yankees, followed by the Rays at 9 game back with 82 wins. The Rays are projected to finish 2 games over .500 at 82-80, 9 games back of New York, with the Orioles in last at 79-83, or 12 games back.

Predictions (accessed at 8:17 AM ET, June 11, 2017)

Three site average:

New York Yankees 91-71 (last week average projection was 89-73 )
Boston Red Sox 89-73, (unchanged)
Tampa Bay Rays 82-80, 9 GB (unchanged)
Toronto Blue Jays 81-81, 10 GB (unchanged)
Baltimore Orioles 79-83, 12 GB (last week 80-82)

1. Fivethirtyeight.com

New York Yankees 93-69
Boston Red Sox 89-73 (4 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 81-81 (9 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 80-82 (13 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 80-82 (10 GB)

2. BaseballProspectus.com**

New York Yankees 89-73
Boston Red Sox 88-74 (1 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 (7 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 80-82 (9 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 77-85 (12 GB)

3. Fangraphs.com

Boston Red Sox 91-71
New York Yankees 91-71
Toronto Blue Jays 83-78 (8 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 (9 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 81-81 (10 GB)

*The three site average is a simple calculation for the number of wins and losses adds the wins and losses for teams from each of the sites and then divides it by three. For example the number of wins for the Yankees is calculated as follows: (93 + 89 + 91)/3 or (273/3) or 91.

**Baseball Prospectus only provides projections for the remainder of the season. I have added the current standings to their rest of season projections.

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