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This a regular feature which has predictions for the AL East from three sites with statistical models that are updated on a regular basis, based on what has occurred over the course of the season. The records below show show the predictions from each of the individual sites, as well as a three site average.*

This week the three sites, on average, are predicting a 81-81 record for the Jays, unchanged from the average projections last week. If all of these projections hold true this would put the Jays 8 games out of first behind the Red Sox at the end of the year.

The average projection of 89 wins for the Red Sox represents a slight decline compared to last week, when they were projected to win 90 games. With this change and a slight projected improvement for the  Yankees the two teams are projected to finish the regular season tied for first. The Rays follow, 7 games out with 82 wins, and the Jays and Orioles are projected to finish tied for last, 8 games behind the Sox.

Predictions (accessed at 7:24 AM ET, June 4, 2017)

Three site average:

Boston Red Sox 89-73 (last week average projection was 90-72 )

New York Yankees 89-73, (last week 88-74) 

Tampa Bay Rays 82-80, 7 GB (unchanged)

Toronto Blue Jays 81-81, 8 GB (unchanged)

Baltimore Orioles 81-81, 8 GB (last week 80-82)

1. Fivethirtyeight.com

New York Yankees 90-72

Boston Red Sox 88-74 (2 GB)

Baltimore Orioles 82-80 (8 GB)

Tampa Bay Rays 81-81 (9 GB)

Toronto Blue Jays 80-82 (10 GB)

2. BaseballProspectus.com**

Boston Red Sox 88-74
New York Yankees 87-75 (1 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 83-79 (5 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 80-82 (8 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 78-84 (10 GB)

3. Fangraphs.com

Boston Red Sox 91-71
New York Yankees 89-73 (2 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 84-78 (7 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 (9 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 82-80 (9 GB)

*The three site average is a simple calculation for the number of wins and losses adds the wins and losses for teams from each of the sites and then divides it by three. For example the number of wins for the Red Sox is calculated as follows: (88 + 88 + 91)/3 or (267/3) or 89.

**Baseball Prospectus only provides projections for the remainder of the season. I have added the current standings to their rest of season projections.

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