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This a regular feature which has predictions for the AL East from three sites with statistical models that are updated on a regular basis, based on what has occurred over the course of the season. The records below show show the predictions from each of the individual sites, as well as a three site average.*

This week the three sites, on average, are predicting a 81-81 record for the Jays, and finishing on average 9 games behind the Red Sox. Last week the sites predicted on average the Jays would finish 78-84.

The improved average projection of 90 wins for the Red Sox, up from 86 last week, vaults them 2 games ahead of the Yankees if these projections hold true, compared to trailing by 1 game in last weeks average projections. The Rays follow, 8 games out with 82 wins, followed by the Jays and the Orioles who are projected to finish 9 and 10 games out respectively.

Predictions (accessed at 8:01 AM ET, May 28, 2017)

Three site average:

Boston Red Sox 90-72 (last week average projection was 86-76 )

New York Yankees 88-74, 2 GB (last week 87-75) 

Tampa Bay Rays 82-80, 8 GB (last week 83-79)

Toronto Blue Jays 81-81, 9 GB (unchanged)

Baltimore Orioles 80-82, 10 GB (last week 84-78)

1. Fivethirtyeight.com

New York Yankees 89-73

Boston Red Sox 89-73

Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 (7 GB)

Baltimore Orioles 81-81 (8 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 80-82 (9 GB)

2. BaseballProspectus.com**

Boston Red Sox 89-73
New York Yankees 86-76 (3 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 83-79 (6 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 79-83 (10 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 77-85 (12 GB)

3. Fangraphs.com

Boston Red Sox 92-70
New York Yankees 89-73 (3 GB)
Toronto Blue Jays 83-79 (9 GB)
Tampa Bay Rays 82-80 (10 GB)
Baltimore Orioles 81-81 (11 GB)

*The three site average is a simple calculation for the number of wins and losses adds the wins and losses for teams from each of the sites and then divides it by three. For example the number of wins for the Red Sox is calculated as follows: (89 + 89 + 92)/3 or (270/3) or 90.

**Baseball Prospectus only provides projections for the remainder of the season. I have added the current standings to their rest of season projections.

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